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Sunday, July 1, 2012

Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett value investing strategy

Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value:


IR = Normalized EPS x Normalized PE ratio
Margin of Safety (MOS) = select stock selling for less than 2/3 of net current assets
Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) = Total current assets - Total current liabilities - Long-term liabilities


Buffett's Intrinsic Value:


IR = FCF / (R-g)
Owners Earning = CF op - CF Investing = Net Income + Depreciation - Capex - Working Capital


Buffett's 10 Investing Principles:

1. Businesses which have a repetitive consumer need with products that: wear out fast, are used up quickly, have brand appeal.
2. Businesses that provide repetitive services that people and businesses are consistently in need of.
3. Products that most people have to buy at some time in their life.
4. A business that we understand - stay within your circle of competence.
5. The quality of management, especially on the quality of leadership, operated by honest and competent people.
6. The industry's leader with substantial market share in its products.
7. Look for a strong economic franchise, long-term pricing power, high barrier to entry.
8. Predictability - in its business model and operating results.
9. Available at a very attractive price, selling at 33% discount on its intrinsic value.
10. High potential growth with consistent high growth in business and performance. Favorable long-term prospects.

Wednesday, June 6, 2012

Recent done trades

I have done below two trades recently:

2 lots of China Minzhong @0.60 on 24.05
  • Cut loss point 0.50
  • Profit taking point 0.80

3 lots for Q&M dental @ 0.36 on 28.05
  • Cut loss point 0.3
  • Profit taking point 0.5

Monday, April 16, 2012

Moving Average

How to use Moving Average (MA) effectively in investing/trading:

For Stock/ETF Index Investing

Using MA50 and MA150 to identify the trends
1. If MA50 is crossing over MA150 and it is moving upwards - time to entry
2. If MA50 is crossing over MA150 and it is moving downwards - time to exit

For Forex Trading

Using EMA5, EMA20, and EMA50
1. EMA5 crosses above the EMA20
2. EMA20 crosses above the EMA50
3. EMA 20 is at least 30 pips (1 pip = 0.01%) above the EMA50